Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | ORST -140 APP +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -8.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -5.9 (+4.1) | 149.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -8.1 (+1.9) | 150.8 (+1.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -4.9 (+5.1) | 154.3 (-2.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#265) | -1.5 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#147) | -0.63 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#162) | -0.97 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#287) | 0.250 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 44.1% | 11.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.8% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 41.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.