Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -175 MER +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MER -1.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -3.0 (+11.0) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MER -1.8 (+9.8) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -5.5 (+13.5) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | MER 79 – 52 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#301) | 5.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#234) | 2.72 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#237) | 3.96 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#133) | 0.625 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.4% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.6% | 41.7% |
Game Analysis
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