Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MER -250 MORE +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +27 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MER -10.8 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MER -5.3 (+21.7) | 134.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -7.4 (+19.6) | 135.8 (-4.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MER -7.1 (+19.9) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -7.6 (+19.4) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | MORE 74 – 66 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#220) | -8.0 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#279) | -0.37 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#257) | -0.69 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#298) | 0.483 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.