Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
JMA Wireless Dome · November 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -6.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money SYR -275 / COLG +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +4 154 Won
Massey SYR -17.9 (-13.9)
Massey Totals 153.4 (+0.6)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -15.3 (-11.3) 152.8 (+1.2) 83%
Baseline ML SYR -17.9 (-13.9) 149.7 (+4.3) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -13.7 (-9.7) 149.2 (+4.8) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2024 SYR 7472 COLG
Nov 16, 2022 COLG 8068 SYR
Nov 20, 2021 COLG 10085 SYR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR COLG
Overall 20-12 25-10
Conference 11-9 16-2
Home 14-2 13-3
Away 4-7 10-5
Neutral 1-3 2-2
Last 5 2-0 1-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 70.1
Avg Pts Against 76.3 64.9
Massey 1.7 (#142) -5.5 (#283)
Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#38) 0.10 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.23 (#38) 0.05 (#174)
RPI 1.000 (#1) 0.250 (#287)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR COLG
FG% 47.7% 46.3%
3PT% 30.0% 31.6%
REB / G 42.0 40.0
OREB / G 13.5 6.0
AST / TO 1.38 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 51.9%
TOV% 14.2% 17.0%
ORB% 36.0% 18.2%
FT Rate 25.8% 29.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 19.3%
DRB% 65.5% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 14.4% 15.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.