I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
JMA Wireless Dome · November 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -7.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money SYR -300 / COLG +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual COLG +12 148 Lost
Massey SYR -7.1 (-19.1)
Massey Totals 163.3 (-15.3)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 92%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -7.4 (-19.4) 157.1 (-9.1) 65%
Baseline ML SYR -8.5 (-20.5) 155.9 (-7.9) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -5.9 (-17.9) 154.5 (-6.5) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2024 SYR 7472 COLG
Nov 15, 2023 SYR 7975 COLG
Nov 20, 2021 COLG 10085 SYR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR COLG
Overall 17-15 26-9
Conference 10-10 17-1
Home 11-7 14-2
Away 5-6 11-4
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 1-0 1-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 77.6
Avg Pts Against 72.9 69.6
Massey 1.7 (#145) 4.6 (#84)
Bradley-Terry 0.40 (#142) 0.37 (#146)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#136) 0.79 (#118)
RPI 0.500 (#146) 0.300 (#292)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR COLG
FG% 54.5% 55.8%
3PT% 50.0% 33.3%
REB / G 39.0 35.5
OREB / G 10.0 4.5
AST / TO 1.00 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 60.0% 61.1%
TOV% 17.9% 22.4%
ORB% 35.7% 18.0%
FT Rate 43.6% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 15.3%
DRB% 78.4% 82.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 14.5%

Game Analysis

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