Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSST -4000 UNA +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -15.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -10.8 (+16.2) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -13.7 (+13.3) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2025 | MSST 86 – 62 UNA |
| Nov 11, 2021 | MSST 75 – 49 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#56) | 1.8 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#42) | 0.49 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#42) | 0.71 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#8) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 42.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.2% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 41.1% |
Game Analysis
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