Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -4000 UALB +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +25 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -18.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -17.6 (+7.4) | 141.5 (+25.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -15.2 (+9.8) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -18.6 (+6.4) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -18.0 (+7.0) | 146.0 (+21.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 17-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#30) | 1.0 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#35) | 1.14 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#32) | 1.36 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.875 (#14) | 0.613 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 41.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 34.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 9.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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