Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | GW -110 HOF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | GW -23.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -19.0 (-8.0) | 146.9 (-15.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -27.1 (-16.1) | 148.4 (-17.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -20.1 (-9.1) | 146.9 (-15.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | HOF 85 – 80 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#38) | -5.5 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#80) | -1.47 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#76) | -2.02 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.802 (#21) | 0.750 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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