Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -333 GW +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -22.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -14.1 (-9.1) | 154.6 (+10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -15.9 (-10.9) | 155.1 (+9.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -14.8 (-9.8) | 150.6 (+14.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | GW 71 – 60 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 11-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#21) | -2.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#2) | 0.38 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#1) | 0.50 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.771 (#27) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 55.1% |
| 3PT% | 45.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.7% | 63.3% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 46.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 81.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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