Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -175 BELL +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -24.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -15.6 (-7.6) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -18.8 (-10.8) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -16.8 (-8.8) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | BELL 79 – 64 UTC |
| Dec 10, 2020 | UTC 77 – 68 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#62) | -8.1 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#20) | -1.30 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#24) | -1.99 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#27) | 0.333 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 12.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 62.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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