Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +200 UTC -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -0.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.1 (-9.1) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -1.1 (-10.1) | 138.3 (+6.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.1 (-8.9) | 137.8 (+7.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.1 (-8.9) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | BELL 79 – 64 UTC |
| Nov 15, 2023 | UTC 72 – 64 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-8 | 18-8 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-2 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#176) | 5.2 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#202) | 2.28 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#223) | 3.76 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#246) | 0.569 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 43.3% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 10.7% |
Game Analysis
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