Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +100 LIP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +31 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -9.1 (-40.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.7 (-33.7) | 140.2 (+20.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -4.1 (-35.1) | 139.2 (+21.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -3.1 (-34.1) | 139.5 (+21.5) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | LIP 83 – 80 TNTC |
| Dec 15, 2022 | LIP 64 – 63 TNTC |
| Nov 24, 2021 | TNTC 88 – 77 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#272) | -2.9 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#228) | -0.72 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#223) | -1.00 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#114) | 0.500 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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