Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -600 TNTC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -11.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -9.6 (-8.6) | 146.9 (-19.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -7.6 (-6.6) | 143.0 (-16.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.5 (-8.5) | 148.2 (-21.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -9.5 (-8.5) | 149.1 (-22.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | LIP 83 – 80 TNTC |
| Nov 15, 2023 | LIP 96 – 65 TNTC |
| Nov 24, 2021 | TNTC 88 – 77 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#198) | -7.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#195) | -2.50 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#214) | -3.35 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#210) | 0.406 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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