Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -600 TNTC +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -16.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -13.4 (-10.4) | 145.8 (+17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -15.1 (-12.1) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -13.8 (-10.8) | 144.7 (+18.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -14.3 (-11.3) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | LIP 96 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 15, 2022 | LIP 64 – 63 TNTC |
| Nov 24, 2021 | TNTC 88 – 77 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#118) | -7.0 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#83) | -0.64 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#71) | -1.20 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#77) | 0.452 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.