Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -700 UIC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -7.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -2.6 (-7.6) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -5.4 (-10.4) | 141.3 (-2.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -5.3 (-10.3) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -5.0 (-10.0) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | LUC 70 – 63 UIC |
| Nov 20, 2021 | LUC 80 – 63 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2020 | LUC 77 – 66 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#205) | 1.9 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#230) | 0.48 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#229) | 0.88 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.281 (#278) | 0.729 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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