Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -4000 UIC +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -29.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -25.5 (-8.5) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -21.7 (-4.7) | 152.3 (-9.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -28.8 (-11.8) | 151.3 (-8.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -26.2 (-9.2) | 151.4 (-8.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | UIC 72 – 67 LUC |
| Nov 12, 2022 | LUC 70 – 63 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2020 | LUC 77 – 66 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#4) | -2.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#90) | -0.74 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#89) | -1.66 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#65) | 0.314 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 43.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.24 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 7.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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