Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | UIC +425 LUC -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -3.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -5.0 (-16.0) | 133.3 (+9.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -4.6 (-15.6) | 133.1 (+9.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.9 (-12.9) | 133.1 (+9.9) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | UIC 72 – 67 LUC |
| Nov 12, 2022 | LUC 70 – 63 UIC |
| Nov 20, 2021 | LUC 80 – 63 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 56.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#132) | 3.9 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#141) | 0.11 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#146) | 0.08 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#180) | 0.369 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 59.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 2.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 65.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 37.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 85.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.