Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -120 HPU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -1.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -1.6 (+3.6) | 157.0 (-11.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.4 (+2.4) | 158.1 (-12.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -2.8 (+4.8) | 157.6 (-11.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | QUC 87 – 79 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-16 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 82.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#278) | 4.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#297) | -0.53 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#300) | -0.40 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.000 (#333) | 0.250 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 68.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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