Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -110 WKU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -5.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -6.4 (-11.4) | 145.6 (+21.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -7.4 (-12.4) | 143.1 (+23.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -5.9 (-10.9) | 143.0 (+24.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | WKU 81 – 76 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#274) | 1.0 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#137) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#137) | -0.56 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#153) | 0.500 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 29.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 49.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 22.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 29.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 9.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 87.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 3.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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