Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -225 MUR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.0 (+2.0) | 141.1 (+15.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.0 (+1.0) | 141.4 (+15.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -3.7 (+1.3) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.8 (+2.2) | 141.7 (+15.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | WKU 86 – 81 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | 4.6 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#110) | 0.91 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#90) | 2.39 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.506 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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