Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -31.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +30 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -24.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -21.8 (+8.2) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -24.3 (+5.7) | 133.6 (+2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -19.6 (+10.4) | 130.5 (+5.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -22.4 (+7.6) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | PSU 92 – 62 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#111) | -10.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#127) | -0.96 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#129) | -1.39 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#153) | 0.375 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 22.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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