Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | NEB -1700 STBK +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -20.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -17.5 (+3.5) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -17.3 (+3.7) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -21.0 (-0.0) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -19.3 (+1.7) | 135.2 (+11.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 18-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#112) | -6.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#92) | -1.18 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#96) | -1.93 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#198) | 0.396 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 48.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.5% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.