Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -27.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -23.6 (-3.6) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -20.2 (-0.2) | 131.5 (+4.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -25.8 (-5.8) | 131.9 (+4.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -24.1 (-4.1) | 133.7 (+2.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#84) | -12.1 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#128) | -2.74 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#134) | -4.17 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#230) | 0.229 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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