Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | L-MD -145 BING +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +6 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -15.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -6.3 (-12.3) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -8.9 (-14.9) | 145.4 (-25.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -10.3 (-16.3) | 146.1 (-26.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -9.4 (-15.4) | 146.9 (-26.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | L-MD 84 – 70 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Home | 2-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#152) | -4.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#124) | -0.65 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#142) | -0.90 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#263) | 0.542 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 59.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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