Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -500 CAN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -12.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -8.4 (+1.6) | 142.9 (-10.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -7.6 (+2.4) | 147.8 (-15.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -8.5 (+1.5) | 150.5 (-18.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.0 (+0.0) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | CLE 58 – 57 CAN |
| Nov 20, 2021 | CLE 80 – 70 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#107) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | 1.52 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#133) | 1.93 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.708 (#51) | 0.800 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 47.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 7.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 59.7% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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