Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -110 CLE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +1 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -1.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-39.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.0 (-3.0) | 146.4 (-31.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -1.5 (-2.5) | 147.2 (-32.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -2.0 (-3.0) | 149.2 (-34.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -0.6 (-1.6) | 144.8 (-29.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | CLE 71 – 61 CAN |
| Nov 20, 2021 | CLE 80 – 70 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#308) | 0.2 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#317) | -0.99 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#317) | -1.27 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#229) | 0.250 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 59.1% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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