Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -6.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.2 (+5.8) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -3.7 (+6.3) | 133.8 (+16.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.0 (+6.0) | 134.0 (+16.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -4.0 (+6.0) | 134.6 (+15.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | CLE 71 – 61 CAN |
| Nov 17, 2022 | CLE 58 – 57 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#205) | 0.2 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#309) | -0.83 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#297) | -1.00 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#68) | 0.469 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 22.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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