Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | GMU -125 COR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +7 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -7.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -7.1 (-0.1) | 138.8 (+34.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -8.6 (-1.6) | 137.0 (+36.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -7.9 (-0.9) | 137.7 (+35.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | GMU 99 – 81 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#80) | 8.1 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#44) | 2.71 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#33) | 3.67 (#14) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.688 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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