Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -115 DAY -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -4.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -2.5 (-5.5) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -2.6 (-5.6) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -2.2 (-5.2) | 141.6 (-4.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -2.7 (-5.7) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#86) | 0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#307) | -0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#288) | 0.00 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.283 (#304) | 0.448 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 37.4% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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