Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -1000 PAC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +49 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -19.0 (+30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -15.1 (+33.9) | 144.8 (-17.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -13.3 (+35.7) | 142.5 (-15.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -15.7 (+33.3) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -17.5 (+31.5) | 146.1 (-19.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | NEV 78 – 77 PAC |
| Dec 1, 2020 | NEV 70 – 58 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 0-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-12 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 81.4 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#58) | -2.3 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#16) | -0.76 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#21) | -1.77 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#81) | 0.500 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 20.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 9.2% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.1% | 41.1% |
Game Analysis
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