Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | WYO +118 SLU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -4.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.8 (-11.8) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.1 (-11.1) | 138.9 (+9.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.5 (-8.5) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#170) | -4.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | 0.53 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#146) | 0.71 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#315) | 0.417 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 10.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 47.9% | 40.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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