Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +650 FIU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -5.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -2.0 (-11.0) | 151.5 (+5.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -3.8 (-12.8) | 151.3 (+5.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -0.0 (-9.0) | 151.7 (+5.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | FIU 77 – 66 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#347) | -8.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#202) | -2.22 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#201) | -3.28 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#26) | 0.292 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 18.8% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 1.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 2.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.2% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 53.3% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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