With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
70 – 77
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Utah Utes
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 17, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UTAH -6.0 Away covered
O/U 148.0 Under
Money WAKE +205 / UTAH -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WAKE win
Actual UTAH +7 147 Lost
Massey UTAH -9.9 (+2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 160.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 30% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UTAH -6.0 (-1.0) 152.7 (-5.7) 27% ✓
Baseline ML UTAH -6.4 (-0.6) 151.3 (-4.3) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UTAH -5.8 (-1.2) 154.7 (-7.7) 31% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WAKE UTAH
Overall 21-14 22-15
Conference 11-9 9-11
Home 17-2 17-2
Away 2-9 2-9
Neutral 2-3 3-4
Last 5 1-1 2-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.1 78.8
Avg Pts Against 70.7 73.2
Massey 2.2 (#131) 12.1 (#19)
Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#185) 0.71 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.09 (#179) 1.07 (#114)
RPI 0.458 (#218) 0.469 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors WAKE UTAH
FG% 48.1% 51.6%
3PT% 33.9% 40.0%
REB / G 39.0 50.0
OREB / G 11.0 12.0
AST / TO 1.00 1.54
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 58.9%
TOV% 16.1% 17.2%
ORB% 31.9% 35.3%
FT Rate 27.1% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 40.8%
Opp TOV% 12.3% 14.9%
DRB% 81.2% 84.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 9.2%

Game Analysis

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