Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -250 COPP +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +2 | 94 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -8.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -6.7 (-4.7) | 126.6 (-32.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -5.5 (-3.5) | 128.7 (-34.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -5.5 (-3.5) | 129.4 (-35.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -6.8 (-4.8) | 126.7 (-32.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#316) | -17.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#331) | -2.71 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#327) | -4.06 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.194 (#352) | 0.260 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.8% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 22.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 24.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.9% | 37.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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