Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -2000 DETM +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -23.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -15.9 (+3.1) | 139.5 (-16.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -17.3 (+1.7) | 150.0 (-27.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -19.2 (-0.2) | 152.9 (-29.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -19.8 (-0.8) | 149.4 (-26.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | DETM 88 – 74 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-3 | 1-11 |
| Away | 5-7 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#70) | -8.9 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -0.68 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#158) | -0.67 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#270) | 0.556 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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