Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +110 OHIO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -6.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -3.9 (+10.1) | 141.4 (+20.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -3.7 (+10.3) | 140.7 (+21.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -4.5 (+9.5) | 137.9 (+24.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | OHIO 71 – 52 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#175) | 2.8 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#266) | -0.40 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#268) | -0.17 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#276) | 0.250 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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