Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | LIB -190 WICH +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -2.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.6 (+15.4) | 140.4 (+8.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -0.9 (+16.1) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.1 (+14.9) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#24) | 7.9 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#12) | 2.14 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#9) | 3.00 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.944 (#3) | 0.688 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 45.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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