Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +240 CLE -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -7.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -7.6 (+14.6) | 144.8 (-13.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -6.0 (+13.0) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.1 (+12.1) | 144.1 (-13.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -7.7 (+14.7) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | CLE 71 – 63 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#350) | 3.3 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | 0.97 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#266) | 1.79 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#245) | 0.667 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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