Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BC -260 HARV +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BC -5.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -3.6 (+5.4) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -6.5 (+2.5) | 144.0 (-7.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -7.2 (+1.8) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -7.1 (+1.9) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | BC 73 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#58) | 10.6 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#37) | 1.76 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#56) | 2.53 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#80) | 0.597 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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