You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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62–35 on winners spread MAE 9.6 97 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jacksonville @ Stetson +4.4 136.1 67% 75–91 ✓
Monmouth @ Iona +1.3 150.5 54% 86–91 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton -2.2 141.3 39% 53–76 ✗
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -4.7 144.8 27% 68–75 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point -7.9 144.8 21% 71–63 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida International +1.0 139.4 50% 85–72 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -3.8 143.4 33% 88–79 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -5.0 143.3 33% 75–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +5.6 146.2 72% 60–64 ✓
Old Dominion @ UAB +9.9 135.5 82% 69–76 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb +9.8 137.2 84% 62–76 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +6.8 124.4 73% 54–59 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +10.7 130.9 86% 57–68 ✓
North Dakota @ Omaha -0.4 145.4 45% 62–72 ✗
Green Bay @ UIC +1.2 144.2 57% 58–61 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -8.3 135.8 21% 81–75 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +0.3 142.0 53% 68–67 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico -6.2 139.7 24% 79–67 ✓
Utah Valley @ New Mexico State +2.4 145.5 63% 69–66 ✗
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +11.6 145.3 88% 61–71 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -1.4 146.1 40% 77–59 ✓
Toledo @ Buffalo +3.5 157.7 65% 80–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -4.9 142.6 31% 89–78 ✓
UNLV @ San José State -9.6 144.1 18% 76–60 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +4.2 139.4 69% 77–81 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +10.2 134.0 83% 66–71 ✓
Navy @ American University +0.3 147.3 49% 72–60 ✗
UCF @ Tulane +0.2 128.6 49% 84–81 ✗
Michigan State @ Indiana +8.0 139.7 79% 78–71 ✗
Siena @ Niagara -3.7 130.4 34% 62–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Miami -3.4 140.1 35% 87–60 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's -1.4 150.3 42% 82–91 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +16.0 155.2 89% 78–82 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +6.1 142.2 74% 60–68 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +10.4 137.0 84% 70–55 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +4.1 138.1 67% 69–67 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh -3.1 148.6 38% 75–47 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +20.9 153.3 90% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.0 143.1 66% 64–80 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina -3.1 146.5 36% 80–56 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -1.9 160.9 44% 74–75 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas +3.6 138.6 68% 61–67 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina -2.6 151.3 36% 93–78 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse +4.7 148.3 67% 67–75 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Florida A&M +5.5 138.4 73% 57–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.5 136.3 49% 71–76 ✗
NC State @ Wake Forest +0.9 142.1 54% 80–62 ✗
Furman @ Mercer -1.6 149.8 44% 70–60 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +18.2 150.9 91% 51–64 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +3.6 136.6 67% 75–54 ✗
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +6.4 149.1 76% 57–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +15.0 148.8 90% 52–74 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana -3.4 148.1 34% 90–76 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +11.4 136.6 87% 79–76 ✗
West Virginia @ Texas +3.6 149.6 66% 84–82 ✗
Holy Cross @ Army +11.8 148.3 87% 65–69 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount -4.1 141.2 37% 88–71 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho -8.9 133.6 19% 71–40 ✓
Illinois @ Minnesota -2.6 151.0 37% 94–63 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +9.8 155.6 83% 63–70 ✓
Florida State @ Pittsburgh -4.3 147.8 30% 79–72 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +8.5 140.0 81% 76–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany +4.9 137.5 70% 59–43 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State -0.3 136.4 48% 76–85 ✗
Merrimack @ Bryant +5.6 147.5 73% 58–60 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.3 154.4 57% 76–88 ✓
Auburn @ LSU +6.3 159.4 74% 80–104 ✓
Troy @ Georgia State +9.8 140.0 82% 53–65 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +2.5 135.5 59% 56–54 ✗
Old Dominion @ UAB +10.1 136.4 82% 65–58 ✗
Pacific @ Portland -10.4 147.8 16% 80–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +8.9 138.2 81% 72–79 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +2.6 156.4 66% 84–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +4.8 136.3 70% 86–82 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield -5.5 136.4 26% 53–66 ✗
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky -7.0 146.2 25% 77–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +2.2 148.2 64% 70–77 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +3.8 156.3 64% 87–89 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +10.3 150.4 85% 61–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -4.2 144.5 30% 67–55 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Tennessee State -8.0 137.6 20% 77–76 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Belmont +18.6 151.1 91% 66–90 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay +9.6 145.4 83% 76–69 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -12.3 133.3 13% 79–69 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -0.5 136.0 43% 68–77 ✗
Kansas State @ TCU +8.3 138.9 81% 62–54 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +4.6 138.4 68% 55–60 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown -1.9 141.4 42% 75–81 ✗
Purdue @ Nebraska -6.4 135.5 25% 75–58 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State -12.4 144.6 14% 66–56 ✓
Arizona @ USC +8.4 140.4 80% 81–72 ✗
Louisville @ North Carolina +2.9 136.5 65% 54–99 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss +5.4 132.4 72% 66–56 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Southeast Missouri State -5.8 153.4 26% 72–94 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Nicholls +12.0 152.4 88% 68–79 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara -1.5 142.1 45% 82–86 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -7.4 138.3 25% 69–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.