Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +210 M-OH -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -9.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -7.4 (+2.4) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -7.3 (+2.3) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -8.1 (+3.1) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -7.1 (+2.1) | 137.3 (-4.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-16 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-8 |
| Home | 2-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#335) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#328) | -0.64 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#334) | -0.52 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#325) | 0.455 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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