Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | KU -110 TTU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | KU -1.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.6 (+2.4) | 138.6 (-10.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.5 (+4.5) | 135.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.8 (+3.2) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.4 (+2.6) | 139.3 (-11.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#25) | 14.8 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#8) | 2.65 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#21) | 3.24 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#22) | 0.579 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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