Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -800 BU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -23.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -20.9 (-10.9) | 153.3 (+0.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.7 (-6.7) | 151.5 (+2.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -20.6 (-10.6) | 153.4 (+0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -21.2 (-11.2) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Game Analysis
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