So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Portland Pilots
58 – 80
FINAL Conference
Pacific Tigers
West Coast Conference · Chiles Center · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread PAC -13.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money PORT +900 / PAC -1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total PORT win
Actual PAC +22 138 Lost
Massey PAC -11.7 (-10.3) — —
Massey Totals — 146.9 (-8.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 14% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PAC -10.4 (-11.6) 147.8 (-9.8) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PAC -10.9 (-11.1) 145.7 (-7.7) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PAC -11.1 (-10.9) 148.2 (-10.2) 15% ✓
Baseline ML PAC -10.4 (-11.6) 146.9 (-8.9) 16% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 PAC 74 – 51 PORT
Jan 9, 2026 PORT 90 – 89 PAC
Feb 23, 2025 PORT 81 – 73 PAC
Jan 17, 2025 PORT 84 – 81 PAC
Feb 2, 2024 PORT 65 – 60 PAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PORT PAC
Overall 6-15 9-9
Conference 0-11 6-7
Home 5-8 6-2
Away 1-6 3-6
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L13 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 68.5
Avg Pts Against 85.1 71.1
Massey -13.6 (#336) 0.6 (#155)
Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#277) 0.83 (#104)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.30 (#305) 0.88 (#117)
RPI 0.427 (#289) 0.520 (#131)
Shooting & Four Factors PORT PAC
FG% 39.3% 42.0%
3PT% 32.3% 29.2%
REB / G 29.3 32.8
OREB / G 6.6 10.1
AST / TO 0.85 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 46.4%
TOV% 19.2% 16.5%
ORB% 18.3% 28.1%
FT Rate 26.7% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.2% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 19.2%
DRB% 69.1% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 16.3% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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