Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UML -120 UNH +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -4.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -4.1 (-6.1) | 138.1 (-2.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.5 (-4.5) | 136.1 (-0.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -3.7 (-5.7) | 140.5 (-4.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -4.1 (-6.1) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Home | 3-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#213) | -4.9 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#241) | -0.95 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#229) | -1.18 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#209) | 0.447 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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