Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -300 CSUB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -10.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -10.2 (-5.2) | 134.0 (+3.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -7.1 (-2.1) | 129.8 (+7.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -9.4 (-4.4) | 132.6 (+4.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -10.1 (-5.1) | 133.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCSB 75 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSB 109 – 84 CSUB |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UCSB 71 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSB 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-5 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#63) | 1.1 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#60) | 0.59 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#73) | 0.91 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#35) | 0.513 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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