I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Washington State Cougars
85 – 76 3OT
FINAL Conference
Stanford Cardinal
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -7.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money WSU +320 / STAN -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +9 161 Won
Massey STAN -2.4 (+11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 134.1 (+26.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML STAN -0.3 (+9.3) 136.4 (+24.6) 48% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STAN -0.1 (+9.1) 136.7 (+24.3) 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STAN -0.7 (+9.7) 136.7 (+24.3) 51% ✓
Baseline ML STAN -0.1 (+9.1) 136.5 (+24.5) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 79 – 62 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 72 – 59 STAN
Jan 19, 2024 WSU 89 – 75 STAN
Feb 24, 2023 WSU 67 – 63 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 60 – 59 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU STAN
Overall 14-13 14-13
Conference 7-12 10-10
Home 11-5 5-4
Away 3-6 6-6
Neutral 0-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L3 L5
Avg Pts For 68.6 69.7
Avg Pts Against 67.4 69.6
Massey 4.7 (#104) 9.6 (#59)
Bradley-Terry 0.84 (#103) 1.70 (#59)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.24 (#95) 2.19 (#60)
RPI 0.514 (#138) 0.589 (#38)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU STAN
FG% 41.9% 47.4%
3PT% 34.8% 31.1%
REB / G 37.6 34.4
OREB / G 10.8 8.0
AST / TO 0.82 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 52.1%
TOV% 21.2% 21.0%
ORB% 30.1% 26.2%
FT Rate 25.8% 29.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 20.6%
DRB% 73.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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