Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -110 UND +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -0.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -0.4 (+10.4) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -0.5 (+10.5) | 143.1 (-9.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.1 (+11.1) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -0.4 (+10.4) | 146.3 (-12.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 1-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#315) | -8.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#336) | -1.62 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.07 (#338) | -2.39 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#319) | 0.430 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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