Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -110 OAK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +2 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -4.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.8 (-1.8) | 156.3 (+19.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.7 (-0.7) | 156.4 (+19.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.6 (-1.6) | 157.9 (+18.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.3 (-1.3) | 158.3 (+17.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 4-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#245) | -6.7 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#262) | -0.74 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#263) | -0.97 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#270) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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