Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -120 ELON +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +21 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -5.5 (-26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -3.6 (-24.6) | 136.6 (-7.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -3.1 (-24.1) | 133.8 (-4.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -2.5 (-23.5) | 135.5 (-6.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -3.2 (-24.2) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Home | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#257) | -8.6 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#202) | -1.26 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#235) | -1.64 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.445 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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